Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.904063 4.623794 5.468492 6.540823 7.876894 9.501210 11.647602
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.848133 3.723144 4.883149 6.565506 8.997653 12.474476 17.988605
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.402767 3.348747 4.708091 6.868446 10.342258 15.948675 26.221190
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.004622 2.926184 4.330943 6.722552 10.898794 18.327964 33.691771
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.745516 2.649460 4.098535 6.718171 11.642391 21.223052 43.468702
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.529294 2.397535 3.849189 6.610986 12.145954 23.811752 53.965320
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.397720 2.260524 3.763235 6.770007 13.197693 27.912364 70.576679
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.248466 2.069463 3.546695 6.625585 13.567100 30.606423 85.229121
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.196921 2.042772 3.625088 7.090214 15.432999 37.802622 119.624361
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.133118 1.983556 3.629591 7.396379 17.022276 45.044702 161.549925
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.081519 1.939745 3.656318 7.757192 18.877632 54.089728 221.910323
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.010174 1.847729 3.568390 7.827564 19.967153 61.287551 283.858469
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.937671 1.757310 3.498227 8.004949 21.698744 72.968314 399.952053
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.860206 1.649201 3.378491 8.050909 23.161576 85.413611 560.328223
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.814441 1.600590 3.384016 8.437844 25.981875 106.841147 878.453067
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.742092 1.483378 3.205506 8.251053 26.673746 118.879446 1167.003902
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.688318 1.400478 3.096747 8.245443 28.097049 136.954000 1656.564224
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.634799 1.311219 2.957151 8.108316 28.943583 153.014199 2262.613610
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.602056 1.266267 2.924629 8.311800 31.432697 184.369945 3589.396000
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.557106 1.186678 2.787340 8.126987 32.048724 203.158223 4929.567661
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.545264 1.186055 2.865153 8.722281 36.963141 268.966627 10006.066539
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.526500 1.165752 2.884470 9.115667 41.173490 340.281987 19715.021572
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.510801 1.151213 2.918114 9.580368 46.242714 438.745269 43881.947167